Pack ROI Calculator — Is Opening Pokemon Packs Worth It?
The honest answer for most packs is no — but some sets are meaningfully better than others. This leaderboard shows the average raw expected value per pack, the PSA 10 gem rate, and the per-pack profit or loss for every current set. Updated every 6 hours.
| Set | Pack cost | EV raw | EV PSA 10 | Gain / loss | Gem 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
What is pack EV?
Expected value (EV) is the average worth of the cards you'll pull from a pack if you opened thousands of them. It's computed by taking the market price of every card in the set, weighting each by how frequently it appears per pack, and summing the result. "EV raw" uses raw card prices; "EV PSA 10" uses PSA-graded prices multiplied by the set-wide gem rate to get a realistic ceiling.
Why most packs lose money
Sealed pricing bakes in the manufacturer's margin, retailer margin, distributor margin, and the house edge that keeps the grading-and-flipping economy alive. The chase cards that hit big are rare enough that the average pack is statistically a loss — that's how it has to be for the chase cards to be worth anything at all. A handful of freshly-released sets briefly show positive gain/loss when demand outpaces print-run assumptions, but that window typically closes within weeks.
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Data updated daily. MasterGrade provides the grading estimate layer on top.